Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 19 Aug at 04:55 AM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
S. Baez vs P. Carreno-Busta
Sebastian Baez
ARG
w
l
l
l
w
l
l
l
l
l
1
Win
3
Played
2
Win
24
Age
34
5'7" (170 cm)
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
45
C. Rank
89
18
Best Rank
10
7
Total Titles
7
1
YTD Titles
0
$3.5M
Career Money
$10.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Pablo Carreno-Busta
ESP
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
l
w
l
1
Win
3
Played
2
Win
24
Age
34
5'7" (170 cm)
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
45
C. Rank
89
18
Best Rank
10
7
Total Titles
7
1
YTD Titles
0
$3.5M
Career Money
$10.7M
Right-Handed
Plays
Right-Handed
Head-to-head: Baez 1 - 2 Carreno-Busta
They have played 7 sets in total, with Sebastian Baez winning 3 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 4. The last match between Sebastian Baez and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem, 19-08-2025, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Sebastian Baez getting the victory 7-5 6-2.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Baez | 1 |
| Carreno-Busta | 2 |
Last 3 H2H Matches:
(R2) Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem(08-19-25)
Sebastian Baez
7
6
Pablo Carreno-Busta
5
2
(R1) Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel(10-25-22)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
6
Sebastian Baez
2
1
(R1) Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo(04-11-22)
Pablo Carreno-Busta
6
4
6
Sebastian Baez
4
6
2
S. Baez vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $3,452,990 | Career Prize Money | $10,687,070 |
| 60.63% (271-176) | Career Total W/L | 63.25% (611-355) |
| 0 | Clay | 1 |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 0 | Indoor | 1 |
| 18 | Titles | 33 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 2 |
| 41.46% (17-24) | YTD Win/Loss | 37.50% (9-15) |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
S. Baez vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview:
- In recent form, Baez has a slightly better second serve performance, winning 45.73% of points, compared to Carreno-Busta's 45.51%.
- Baez excels in return games, especially against opponents' second serves, winning 48.24% of points, while Carreno-Busta wins 46.34%.
- For first serve returns, Baez leads by claiming 32.7% of points, whereas Carreno-Busta only secures 26.09%.
- Under pressure, Carreno-Busta demonstrates stronger resilience, saving 55.75% of breakpoints compared to Baez's 51.72%.
- Viewing overall performance, Carreno-Busta holds a better match win rate over the last year at 54.55% versus Baez's 41.3%.
- Both players excel on clay, with Baez winning 69% and Carreno-Busta 66% of matches played on this surface.
- On other surfaces, Baez struggles on indoor hard, winning just 14%, while Carreno-Busta has issues with grass, winning 30%.
- Baez competes primarily on the Main tour, posting a 56% win rate, compared to Carreno-Busta’s 72.73% win rate in Challenger/ITF events.
- In head-to-head confrontations, Carreno-Busta leads, having won both previous matches, winning four out of five sets.
- They played once on a deciding set, with Carreno-Busta prevailing.
- Over the last year, Baez has faced higher-ranked opponents (average rank of 74.13), whereas Carreno-Busta faced lower-ranked opponents (average rank of 160.65).
- In converting breakpoints, Baez excels over Carreno-Busta, converting 37.76% of opportunities compared to Carreno-Busta's 32.59%.
Editorial Prediction (August 19, 2025, UTC):
Analyzing recent performance, Baez and Carreno-Busta appear closely matched, with Baez showing slight edges in second serve points and return games. However, Carreno-Busta displays firm adequacy under pressure by saving more breakpoints.
In terms of overall match wins, Carreno-Busta has been more successful recently, despite encountering players of a lower average rank compared to Baez. Their effectiveness on clay is similarly strong, but conflicts substantially off their preferred surface types.
The head-to-head history gives Carreno-Busta a substantial advantage, having dominated previous encounters. This combined with his higher breakpoint conversion in key moments gives him a potential upper hand.
Based on the aggregate of stats, past performance, and head-to-head records, Carreno-Busta appears positioned to triumph in this upcoming match.
Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
S. Baez vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 2 |
| 3 | Sets Won | 4 |
| 28 | Games Won | 35 |
| 4 | Aces (Total) | 7 |
| 3 | Total Double Faults | 6 |
| 1:39:37 | Average Match Time | 1:39:37 |
| 76% (162/214) | 1st Serve % | 71% (140/197) |
| 60% (98/162) | 1st Serve Win % | 67% (94/140) |
| 42% (22/52) | 2nd Serve Win % | 53% (30/57) |
| 38% (8/21) | Break Pts Won % | 48% (11/23) |
| 37% (73/197) | Return Points Win % | 44% (94/214) |
| 33% (1/3) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 67% (2/3) |
| 0% (0/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (2/2) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/2) |
| 0% (0/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Baez 48%, Carreno-Busta 52%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Baez 51%, Carreno-Busta 54%.
Break Points Saved %: Baez 57%, Carreno-Busta 62%.
S. Baez Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevideo Challenger - 10-11-2025 | ||||
R1  Alvaro Guillen MezaA. Guillen | L | 7-6(3) 6-4 | ||
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Cameron NorrieC. Norrie | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Reilly OpelkaR. Opelka | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| European Open - Brussels - 13-10-2025 | ||||
R1  Valentin RoyerV. Royer | L | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai - 29-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Holger RuneH. Rune | L | 7-5 6-4 | ||
P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-ESP 2-0 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Matteo BerrettiniM. Berrettini | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ESP-GER 2-1 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jan-Lennard StruffJ. Struff | W | 6-4 7-6(6) | ||
| Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE 2-1 - 17-11-2025 | ||||
Rubber 1  Jakub MensikJ. Mensik | L | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Olbia Challenger - 13-10-2025 | ||||
F Luca Van AsscheL. Van | L | 7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2 | ||
SF Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce | W | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
S. Baez vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 60.63% (271/176) | YTD Win/Loss | 63.25% (611/355) |
| 57.82% (632/461) | Sets Win/Loss | 60.13% (1433/950) |
| 53.03% (5444/4821) | Games Win/Loss | 53.49% (12166/10580) |
| 46.15% (36/42) | Hard Win/Loss | 65.35% (198/105) |
| 68.98% (229/103) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.62% (355/186) |
| 12.00% (3/22) | Indoor Hard W/L | 50.98% (52/50) |
| 25.00% (3/9) | Grass Win/Loss | 30.00% (6/14) |
| 0.14 | Aces Per Game | 0.26 |
| 704 | Aces Total | 2864 |
| 0.16 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.12 |
| 797 | Total Double Faults | 1384 |
| 1:43:29 | Average Match Time | 1:21:15 |
| 297.12 | Average Opponent Rank | 486.92 |
| 72% (22723/31679) | 1st Serve % | 64% (35944/56288) |
| 64% (14448/22723) | 1st Serve Win % | 70% (25056/35944) |
| 52% (4634/8955) | 2nd Serve Win % | 52% (10546/20339) |
| 45% (1615/3610) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 42% (2307/5554) |
| 42% (13648/32122) | Return Points Win % | 39% (22215/56929) |
| 36.67% (11/19) | Slam W/L | 59.41% (60/41) |
| 34.78% (16/30) | Masters W/L | 52.59% (71/64) |
| 37.50% (3/5) | Cups W/L | 52.17% (12/11) |
| 59.74% (92/62) | Main Tour W/L | 56.38% (168/130) |
| 0% (0/0) | Tour Finals W/L | 0.00% (0/2) |
| 75.32% (58/19) | Challenger W/L | 70.56% (151/63) |
| 68.99% (89/40) | Futures W/L | 77.01% (144/43) |
| 63% (257/411) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 64% (542/850) |
| 39% (13/33) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 59% (61/104) |
| 51% (67/132) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 57% (208/368) |
| 54% (85/156) | Deciding Set Win % | 55% (170/308) |
| 85% (258/220) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 86% (596/515) |
| 14% (258/36) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (596/79) |
| 27% (189/51) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 26% (368/94) |
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